Mexican president-elect Claudia Sheinbaum’s upcoming administration has generated optimism from the International Air Transport Association (IATA) regarding potential improvements in U.S.-Mexico aviation relations. However, despite Sheinbaum’s differing background as a climate scientist, parallels can be drawn between her policy goals and those of her predecessor, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador. These similarities suggest that little change may occur in the realm of aviation policy once Sheinbaum assumes office in October.
The Department of Transportation (DOT) has been actively assessing a proposal to end the antitrust-immune Delta-Aeromexico joint venture, a decision that aligns with recent shifts in Mexican aviation policies. Furthermore, the suspension of review for Allegiant and Viva Aerobus‘ antitrust immunity applications highlights ongoing tensions in the U.S.-Mexico aviation relationship.
Benito Juarez Airport in Mexico City has faced significant constraints under the Lopez Obrador government, including a reduction in flight operations and the termination of cargo services. While these changes aim to support the new Felipe Angeles Airport, concerns have arisen regarding compliance with the open skies air transport agreement between the U.S. and Mexico.
IATA’s regional vice president for the Americas, Peter Cerda, has highlighted Sheinbaum’s potential to foster sustainable and efficient air transport growth in Mexico. Her background in climate science suggests a shift towards environmental considerations in aviation policy, a perspective that differs from the previous administration’s priorities.
Despite discussions on expanding Felipe Angeles Airport, concrete plans for restoring capacity at Benito Juarez remain elusive. Fabricio Cojuc, a Mexico City-based aviation consultant, has expressed skepticism about the realization of infrastructure projects under the new administration, raising doubts about the future of U.S. airlines’ operations in Mexico City.
As Mexico undergoes a presidential transition, the DOT may take unilateral action to address challenges in the U.S.-Mexico aviation relationship. The potential termination of antitrust immunity agreements and calls for treaty renegotiations underscore the complexities of aligning aviation policies between the two countries.
IATA serves as a mediator between the U.S. and Mexico, with a focus on enhancing capacity at Benito Juarez Airport. By advocating for increased collaboration and addressing regulatory barriers, IATA aims to promote a more conducive environment for U.S.-Mexico aviation partnerships.
The evolving landscape of Mexican aviation policy presents both challenges and opportunities for U.S.-Mexico aviation relations. As Sheinbaum prepares to assume office, the alignment between her vision and the existing administration’s priorities raises questions about the trajectory of aviation policies in the region. Collaboration between stakeholders, including regulatory bodies and industry experts, will be essential in navigating the complexities of the U.S.-Mexico aviation relationship amidst changing political landscapes.
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